Hi people.

Even if I don't bet by profession (I already have a good job in my real life) I have good results in this field, as you can see. This latter, is only the result of over ten years of betting experience (with their winnings and their losses).

I want also explain why I always put an high flat stake on my bets (>7). This doesn't mean that you must take your home keys and go running to bookmakers to place them on my tips!

I use it for two reason. First: I always use the same stake because if I use different stakes I have worst results (in a long term period) than a flat stake. I have some statistics on my bets who suggest to doing this. Second, I bet on a match only if I'm really convinced about that. As you can see on my tips explanation, normally I bet against teams who have many lineups problems or other kinds of serious problems. For this reason, there is no need to use different stakes than maximum.

Good luck!

MattZ

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This is the final match of the Primavera League. Rome has done a great regular season, with 20 matches win on 26 and in the final rounds they eliminated both Milan and Genoa youth teams. Rome youth team is one of the best of Italy (they won this league 6 times, while Varese not) and they are also able to provide many young promises to AS Rome first team (just thing to De Rossi, Aquilani, etc). Also Varese has done great things until now: 17 wins on 26 on regular season plus elimination of both good youth teams as Juventus and Fiorentina are. However, I think that Rome can win this match because they seems to have a better consistency than Varese (just thing that they eliminated former champion) and Varese also has 3 important first squad players banned (Marchi, Scialpi and Ferreira).

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Lepra did a bad championship until now as this team is in the last position of the table (with only 11 points gained) but I think that they have a good opportunity to get points on this match.

First, Newell's will face San Lorenzo which also did a bad championship until now and they still seems far away from their best form (21 points with 1 win in the latest 10 matches). Moreover they will face this match without many players. Infact, Aureliano Torres (12 atts + 1 goal), Nestor Ortigoza (15 atts + 1 goal) are with Paraguain selection, Giancarlo Carmona (13 atts + 1 goal) is with Peru selection, Jonathan Bottinelli (14 atts) is with Argentina selection, Diego Placente (3 atts) is injured and Cristian Tula (14 atts) and Juan Torres (4 atts) will not play for extrafootball problems.

Newell's will have back again Fideleff (4 atts + 1 goal) e Sperdutti (14 atts + 2 goals) while they cannot count on Estigarribia (12 atts) which plays with his national team.

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Ternana will face this trip to Nocera Inf. without the services of 8 players as Visi (gk 24 atts), Quondamatteo (df 20 atts), Fanucci (df 4 atts) and Vailatti (mf 7 atts) are injured and Cejas (mf 4 atts), D'Antoni (mf 18 atts), Imburgia (df 24 atts + 1 goal) and Bizzarri (df 12 atts + 1 goal) are all banned.

Nocerina seems a team of another class size as they rule this division with 59 points (with a gap of 13 points on the 2nd). In addition they can count on full squad as they recover Di Vaio from a ban and Nigro from an injury.

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I'm sorry for writing this bet only now, but asians puts the odds of these lower leagues only few times before the match.

The absences of Getafe first team have had an impact also on their b-team as 3 of the best players of this latter team, Gonzalo (gk 25 atts), Adrián Sardinero (topscorer 23 atts + 9 goals) and Alex Pérez (defender) were in the squad list of Getafe against Barcelona and hence they will be unavailable for today match against Vecindario. In addition to them, also their second topscorer Rudy (19 atts + 8 goals) is unavailable because is banned.

Vecindario is almost full squad as they can count again on former banned defenders Edu and Fran. The only players who are out for them are 2nd goalkeeper Lampon (2 atts) and Oscar Sanchez (mf 16 atts + 3 goals) who is out from about a month.

Vecindario should also have better motivations than their opponent because, after a row of two defeats, they are closer to the danger zone (playouts) while Getafe B has already done a good championship (it seems that they are falling if one consider their trend from the start of the league until now).

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When it leaves only about 10 rounds to the end of the season, Cannes is still 7 points under the promotion places, but this match could be a good opportunity for them to moving closer to top positions. Infact, they will face Palbennec which is a team in a winless row of 6 matches, which doesn't score goals from 3 matches, which have a bad external score (2-4-8) and which also have some players out. Infact, they cannot count on the banned duo Richetin (mf 25 atts + 3 goals) and Pindivic (mf 28 atts + 2 goals) and many others players like Jean-Michel Abiven (fw 17 atts + 4 goals), Steven Abiven (df 22 atts + 1 goal), Le Hénaff (fw 27 atts), Kerbrat (mf 27 atts) and the captain Laurent David (mf 28 atts + 5 goals) have not been able to complete all the trainings this weekend and, even if most of them will be on field, they could suffer a lack of rythm.

Cannes can name an almost unchanged side in respect of the last match against Guegnon as they must replace only M'bow (mf 6 atts + 1 goal) who is banned.

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Beyond the different table situation between this two teams, Salamanca will face this match without many important players as Goikoetxea (df 22 atts + 3 goals), Quique Martin (mf 23 atts + 1 goal) are injured and Moraton (df 22 atts + 3 goals), Arbilla (df 27 atts) and Mario Rosas (mid 15 atts) are all banned. This mean that they cannot count on 3/4 of their regular defence and on other two players who normally have the responsibility of making the game. Betis is without any big lineup problem as they cannot count only on Benat (mf 24 atts + 2 goals) who is banned so this is an opportunity to exploit also considering that Celta will face a tough match against Granada as away side. I also know that this seem a quite poor odd, but I dislike to bet on high hcaps and I cannot see any other result than a victory for Sevilla's team tonight.

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Mexicanistas starts really bad this competition as they get only 1 point on the 9 available. For this match they cannot count on 8 player as goalkeeper Harry Ocampo, defenders Luis Venegas, Tomás Quesada and Leonardo Ly, midfielders Verny Scott, Sergei James and Andrés Barquero and brazilian foward Anderson Andrade are all out for different reasons.

Former champions of Alajuelense have only 2 absences on their side as Luis Miguel Valle is injured and Jonathan McDonald is banned, but I think that they could extend thieir good series because, apart the absences of Barrio Mexico, they also start this championship in a right way.

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After a bad start, Aves finally get a good condition (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and now they are rising on the league table. For this match they should not have so many big lineup problems as only Goncalo (df 7 atts) seems to be out through injury.

Sporting Covilha seems a bad team from every point of view as they have both a bad condition (a row of 5 matches without a win) and bad away (and overall too) performances (1-2-4). For this match they are also without 3 regulars, Abdoulaye (df 12 atts + 4 goals), Fofana (mf 14 atts) and Vasco Varão (mf 10 atts + 1 goal), so this is a good opportunity for Aves to get important points to get closer to promotion places.

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KVO cannot count on Diallo (df 16 atts + 1 goal), Lahousse (df 16 atts + 1 goal), Ferreira-Lino (mf 14 atts + 6 goals), Luissint (df 16 atts), Mohyeldin (fw 9 atts) and Laurienté (mf 1 att). Of the latest 8 matches they won only a match, the last against Dender, but this match was followed by many polemics as they score two goals (1-2 and 1-3) in a suspect position of offside.

OH is full squad as they cannot count only on long term injuries Vastmans (df 3 atts) and Vermeiren (fw 2 atts). They are the best league home team (8-1-0) and after the defeat against Lommel they need a victory to not lose many others points.

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Standard will face this match without the service of many players as Witsel (mf 21 atts + 5 goals), Defour (mf 18 atts + 3 goals), Bolat (gk 12 atts), Cyriac (topscorer 18 atts + 8 goals), Berrier, Felipe (df 10 atts), Victor Ramos (df 12 atts) are all out for them.

Anderlecht is practically full squad because they cannot count only on Deschacht (df 12 atts) who is already out from the end of november.

In the first match Standard won 5-1 and I think that there are possible a kind of "revenge" by Anderlecht also because they are a good home team (7-3-0) while Standard is a quite poor away team (3-1-7).